6 Things You Should Know About a Stock Market Correction
A stock market
drop doesn't mean it's time to panic. Here are six things you should be aware
of when it comes to stock market corrections.
Panic
has hit Wall Street and Main Street -- or at least that's what the financial
headlines would lead you to believe.
In
the early days of February 2018, the Dow Jones Industrial Average,
broad-based S&P 500, and technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite
suffered through their worst stretch in several years. Over a two-day period,
the Dow shed more than 1,800 points, and the Nasdaq and S&P 500 had
similarly dismal performance. Unless you were short-seller of stocks, it probably wasn't a
good time for your portfolio.
On
Feb. 6, 2018, the stock market officially entered "correction" territory. A stock market
correction is defined as a drop of at least 10% or more for an index or stock
from its recent high.
What you should
know about a stock market correction
However,
a stock market correction isn't necessarily a bad thing, depending on the
context you view the correction from. Here are six important things you really
should know about a stock market correction.
1. Stock market
corrections happen often
The
first thing you should know is that stock market corrections happen -- and
fairly often. The U.S. economy naturally peaks and troughs over time, and in
response the stock market will also have its peaks and troughs.
According
to investment firm Deutsche Bank, the stock market, on average, has a
correction every 357 days, or about once a year. Our last correction was about
two years ago, and corrections have generally been quite infrequent since the
Great Recession. While many investors, especially those new to stock investing
simply aren't used to experiencing swings like these, corrections are an
inevitable part of stock ownership, and there's nothing you can do as an
individual investor to stop a correction from occurring.
2. Stock market corrections rarely last long
In
a broader context, while a stock market correction is an inevitable part of
stock ownership, corrections last for a shorter period of time than bull markets.
Based
on research conducted on the Dow between 1945 and 2013, John Prestbo at
MarketWatch determined that the average correction (which worked out to 13.3%)
lasted a mere 71.6 trading days, or about 14 calendar weeks.
3. We can't
predict what'll cause a stock market correction
A
stock market correction may be inevitable, but one thing they aren't is
predictable.
Stock
market corrections could come about within any time frame (every few months or
after multiple years), and they can be caused by a variety of issues. For
instance, we now know the impetus for the Great Recession was the bursting of
the housing bubble caused by an implosion of subprime mortgages. But, how many
people were echoing that subprime was a problem in 2006 or 2007? The answer is
very few people were. Predicting the root cause of the next correction on a
regular basis just isn't possible.
4. Stock market corrections only matter if you're a short-term trader
Another
important point you should realize is that stock market corrections really
aren't an issue if you remain focused on the long term with retirement as your
goal. The only people who should be worried when corrections roll around are
those who've geared their trading around the short term, or those who've
heavily leveraged their account with the use of margin.
Traders
using margin could see their losses magnified in a
downturn (just as their gains were pumped up during the bull market), while
active traders and day-traders could see their losses and trading costs build
during a correction. Maintaining a long-term view has been the smartest way to
invest in stocks throughout history – and it also happens to be a recipe for a
good night's sleep.
5. They're a
great time to buy high-quality stocks at a bargain
For
the long-term investor, a stock market correction is often a great time to pick
up high-quality companies at an attractive valuation. While trying to time a
market bottom is generally a bad idea, a market correction can be a great time
to add stocks to your portfolio that could make excellent long-term
investments, but that previously seemed a bit too expensive.
As
a personal example, when the market corrected in early 2016, I (Fool
Matt Frankel) added some bank stocks to my portfolio that I
previously felt had become overheated. In February 2016, I purchased shares of Bank
of America for $12 and Goldman Sachs for about $150. Both continued
to fall a bit further, but I wasn't concerned. I was confident that from a
long-term perspective, I was getting a bargain thanks to the correction. Today,
Bank of America and Goldman Sachs trade for about $30 and $250, respectively.
6. They're also a good reminder to reassess what you own
Lastly,
a stock market correction is a good reminder for long-term investors to
reassess their holdings.
As
noted above, a dip in stocks isn't necessarily a bad thing as it could give you
the opportunity to buy or add to your stock in high-quality companies, but it's
important that you reassess your holdings to ensure that the thesis of your
purchase remains intact. Ask yourself one simple question with each stock in
your portfolio: Is the reason I bought this stock still valid today? If the answer
is "yes," then no action is required, other than perhaps adding to
your position. If your thesis is no longer intact, then it may be time to
consider selling your position.
A
stock market correction doesn't have to be scary as long as you keep the aforementioned
six points in context.
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